Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 1241.511864 1419.278788 1619.835707 1864.112863 2155.278387 2493.296810 2918.428097
2025-06-15 985.239807 1217.276943 1505.806374 1896.166233 2418.636554 3105.690540 4097.862603
2025-06-22 819.591809 1060.138526 1377.220245 1835.042747 2495.005839 3437.758305 4936.096098
2025-06-29 706.121577 946.423532 1278.001724 1782.354503 2554.994508 3738.378363 5782.674808
2025-07-06 617.831483 852.139240 1187.680836 1720.520066 2579.748369 3977.258880 6576.762208
2025-07-13 579.860939 823.156245 1184.952161 1785.569051 2807.670731 4580.808355 8159.422578
2025-07-20 538.174144 782.733817 1158.219975 1805.846856 2961.161928 5084.377443 9703.539317
2025-07-27 507.336923 754.859992 1146.540035 1847.268098 3155.979347 5702.712856 11683.725976
2025-08-03 478.634023 726.896296 1130.643333 1877.633435 3333.690344 6325.459113 13896.352546
2025-08-10 459.306953 711.854575 1133.931175 1941.763139 3586.920784 7164.657034 16973.660196
2025-08-17 435.261444 686.402593 1116.092971 1963.110663 3756.026051 7859.106498 19972.174282
2025-08-24 411.670008 659.446905 1092.496455 1969.507138 3893.657005 8514.126668 23167.153923
2025-08-31 386.595844 628.888649 1061.346123 1961.072026 4007.807447 9171.512980 26830.296966
2025-09-07 370.197564 612.494870 1055.123007 2004.132051 4253.213105 10259.686900 32722.440504
2025-09-14 342.514117 573.151243 1001.111472 1937.594773 4220.273653 10563.488546 35856.611301
2025-09-21 318.824975 539.310370 954.598413 1881.418412 4203.228383 10913.046370 39456.400000
2025-09-28 296.354669 506.079624 906.336447 1815.332731 4148.907837 11136.345550 42694.907573
2025-10-05 289.715553 502.310677 916.721037 1884.837869 4471.817270 12689.249694 53808.535276
2025-10-12 278.872667 489.534121 907.354460 1906.511748 4667.533142 13890.797226 64408.301983
2025-10-19 270.841195 481.616719 907.325238 1950.797027 4939.607186 15486.454958 79437.123649
2025-10-26 262.312793 472.036207 902.798657 1983.271686 5184.712608 17093.464233 96997.710735
2025-11-02 257.156411 468.859313 911.841202 2051.882834 5561.503744 19433.046504 124483.132945
2025-11-09 248.801788 458.476884 903.910658 2074.730054 5795.592674 21278.043087 151726.894893